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E. Salami Shahid and M. Ehteshami receive Albert Einstein Research Award-2015 in Energy and Environmental Science
17 March, 2015, Iran, USA NEWS CORP
Much awaited award was announced this week. Finally Iran wins Albert Einstein Research Award-2015 in Energy and Environmental Science. Thousands of nominations from several countries were received for international competition. The noble work is screened which distinguish from the rest, in different aspects of the Energy and Environmental Science. The award is introduced to highlight excellent think tanks on global platform. The research findings were published on world’s prestigious The Journal of Energy and Environmental Science. IASR recognized the researchers among World's 500 Most Influential Environmental Experts for the year 2015. We can clearly observe the practical impacts of climate change and global warming on Earth. The present study focuses on temperature changes during the past 21 years (1990-2010) using data obtained from San Joaquin River (Old River Station), to calculate the rate of temperature change at this station. The rate of temperature change (R) is calculated by adding up the difference between each year’s mean temperature and that of the previous years. According to our calculation R=0.0354° C/Year, which means that if the local conditions would exist, we will have 3.54° C temperature rise within the next 100 years. Using the resource we calculated mean temperature for the past 21 years, which was equal to 17.12° C, meaning that the mean temperature of the year 2100 will be around 20.5°C, which will be incredibly high. We also made an ANN model (and ran it using MATLAB) to regenerate the missing data. The model is a feed-forward network with back propagation neurons trained by the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm, with 4 layers containing 25 neurons. After making the model and before using it, we tested the model with existing data and compared the results that showed unexpected high correlation. According to the current research study and also the values given, R will be equal to 0.0354 (°C/Year), which means that if the existing conditions continue in the way they did during the past 20 years, we will have a temperature rise of about 3.54°C during the next 100 years. There is no need to explain that this amount of temperature rise is very high and may pose a serious threat to the life of humans and other creatures on earth. IPCC presented a model that estimated temperature changes during the current century will be: 2.6 – 4.6 for low predictions, and 3.7 – 6.5 for high predictions.(Meehl et al.,2007). Their result also matches the IPCC model. A more important issue is that the rate of temperature changes in the San Joaquin River basin is higher than the global value. In addition, they observed that how ANN models can be used for accurate regeneration of the missing data. They represent a new formula to show the average rating of temperature changing. They use an ANN model to regenerate missing data. It is the first time that the temperature study was performed in the current area. The authors are grateful to Dr. Sohrab Soori for their editorial and revision assistance. Also, they are thankful of San Joaquin River Monitoring Stations Control Board for providing data for the current analyses.
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