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Recent developments in North Korea, formally referred to as the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, reflect the complicated prospects of improving relations with its neighbors and the US. In August, North Korean fighters launched a small rocket into South Korean loudspeakers incessantly blaring anti-North messages, and South Korea retaliated with 36 artillery rounds. South Korea had started its loudspeaker messaging for the first time in years after two of its soldiers were wounded by North-set landmines in the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ).
Admiral Bill Gortney, chief of the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), found North Korea to “have the capability to reach the homeland with a nuclear weapon from a rocket,” the US, with South Korea at its side, appears more open to eventual talks with North Korea than ever before. North Korea, believed to have enough fissile material for 10 to 16 nuclear bombs, has conducted three nuclear tests in the last decade and has a program to develop mobile ballistic missiles.
"As my administration has shown with Iran and with Cuba, we are also prepared to engage nations with which we have had troubled histories," President Obama said, while clarifying that the conditions required of North Korea for such an engagement have not been met or even attempted.
Soon after, however, both Koreas de-escalated and agreed to continue their preparations for the scheduled reunions of families separated since the end of the Korean War in 1953. Shared events like this one fuel optimism about reunification, and Park has made such policy a goal in her administration. Obama shares that hope as well, but expresses it using a different choice of words.
Obama played up US pressure and added, “the internet, over time is going to be penetrating this country,” and “it is very hard to sustain that kind of brutal authoritarian regime in this modern world. Information ends up seeping in over time and bringing about change, and that’s something that we are constantly looking for ways to accelerate.” For South Korea President Park, however, “collapse” is not the preferred talking point. Her approach is more about gradualism and building inter-government relationships. As North Korea’s Korean Worker’s Party just celebrated its 70th anniversary, some say Park’s talk of reunification is pie-in-the-sky.
This year, Obama took part in a series of YouTube interviews when one host, Hank Green, brought up the subsequent sanctions imposed on North Korea in light of the Sony hack. “I was surprised to find that there were any sanctions that we could sanction that hadn't been sanctioned yet. Like, how is there anything left?” Green asked.Obama described North Korea’s government as one “you almost can’t duplicate anywhere else. It’s brutal and it’s oppressive and as a consequence, the country can’t really even feed its own people,” before going on to say, “Over time, you will see a regime like this collapse.”
In 2012, Obama spoke to students at the Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, some of whom escaped North Korea."The day all Koreans yearn for will not come easily or without great sacrifice. But make no mistake, it will come, he told them “And when it does, change will unfold that once seemed impossible. Checkpoints will open. Watchtowers will stand empty. Families long separated will finally be reunited. The Korean people, at long last, will be whole and free.
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